2004 State of the Industry
The past year has been challenging for many beverage
categories, but overall, the industry has faired well. Most categories have
enjoyed increasing sales, albeit small increases in some categories, and while
the low-carb trend has cast a shadow on some industry mainstays, it’s also been
a launching pad for products such as diet and mid-calorie drinks.
Soft drinks continue to be the largest beverage segment and
have had perhaps the most difficult time of any beverage category. Soft drink
companies have worked to maintain positive results during a time of job cuts,
reorganizations, school vending controversies and a very public fight against
obesity. Sales of regular cola brands have been flat, but flavors and diet soft
drinks are providing a boost for many soft drink manufacturers, according to
Information Resources Inc. and ACNielsen.
Flavor brands such as Pepsi-Cola Co.’s Sierra
Mist showed strong sales, and orange-flavored Mountain Dew LiveWire, which
was only available from Memorial Day until Labor Day last year, was so
successful the company decided to bring it back for Summer 2004.
In addition to paying attention to flavors, U.S.
consumers also were watching the calorie content of the beverages they
purchased in 2003. Diet soft drinks were the focus of marketing campaigns
and led trends in beverage formulation. Among the leaders in the diet
category, Diet Vanilla Coke shot up more than 397 percent in volume sales,
and Pepsi’s Diet Sierra Mist climbed to an almost 250 percent volume
increase as newcomers to the market in 2003.
From job cuts throughout North America in the
beginning of the year to the $10-million Burger King frozen Coke lawsuit
during the fall, The Coca-Cola Co. is coming off of a turbulent year. In
the United States, the company cut 1,000 jobs last year and reorganized its
bottle/can, fountain and Minute Maid product divisions. The pace of change
continued this year as Chairman Doug Daft retired and was succeeded by
Coca-Cola veteran Neville Isdell.
Year-end 2003 figures show that Coca-Cola’s
overall sales slipped 4 percent last year, with positive results of 2.5
percent reported only in the drug category. Flavored cola brands Cherry
Coke and Vanilla Coke picked up some of the slack with 33.2 percent and
22.6 percent in sales increases, respectively. Furthermore, the
introduction of Sprite Remix gave the company and the category a boost in
2003, lending to Sprite’s trademark volume increase of 4 percent,
according to Coca-Cola.
The company also introduced Barq’s Floatz,
initially in Southern states, in its attempts to revive the popularity of
the trademark, and Swerve milk-based drinks launched in school vending
programs. Both products were designed to appeal to a younger demographic,
while Diet Coke with Lime, is expected to grab adult consumers with its
unique taste.
On the foodservice side of the business, Coca-Cola successfully wooed Milford, Conn.-based Subway
sandwich chain away from Pepsi-Cola products, which previously accounted
for 85 percent of Subway’s beverage business, in favor of Coca-Cola
as its exclusive beverage supplier.
The Pepsi-Cola Co. has had a less controversial year
than its main competitor, but it’s been one filled with product
launches and organizational changes of its own. Beginning the summer
selling season with limited-edition Mountain Dew LiveWire and launching
Vanilla Pepsi at the end of the summer, the Purchase, N.Y.-based company
recorded positive sales results in 2003 in all channels, except for mass
merchandise, according to IRI and ACNielsen. While Coca-Cola suffered a
slight decrease in category volume share, Pepsi reported a slight gain.
Although the brand’s regular colas felt a 3.2 percent hit from last
year, Pepsi flavors, including the Sierra Mist family of products, and Diet
Cherry Pepsi, experienced increased sales of 144 percent and 68.9 percent,
respectively.
Late last year, Pepsi announced plans to divide its
North American operations into three core businesses. It cut 750 jobs while
consolidating into Pepsi-Cola, Gatorade and juice divisions to streamline
manufacturing and supply chain operations.
In other company news, Pepsi built on its successful
tea partnership with Unilever and formed Pepsi Lipton International, a new
joint agreement to market and distribute Lipton ready-to-drink teas.
Dr Pepper/Seven Up Inc. has been no stranger to
change. Similar to the competition, the company
struggled with decreasing sales and challenges due to organizational
changes. As part of ongoing regional changes implemented by parent company
Cadbury Schweppes plc, its three North American beverage units moved closer
to consolidation. The goal was to create a united beverage group that
includes Dr Pepper/ Seven Up, Snapple and Mott’s organizations under
Cadbury Schweppes Americas Beverages.
Although the company’s overall channel sales for
all brands dropped more than 3 percent from the previous year, 7 Up’s
DNL showed impressive results. According to IRI and ACNielsen, DNL
reported a more than 1,700 percent increase in grocery store sales and a
more than 1,500 percent increase in drug store sales during its market
debut in 2003.
The company’s focus on diet products in its
advertising and marketing spending toward the end of 2003 is apparent in
the continued success of Diet Dr Pepper. The diet soft drink reported a 5
percent increase in sales overall, and a 10 percent increase in the
convenience and grocery channel.
Much to the disappointment of nationally branded soft
drink companies, the private label bonanza continues and is building
recognition among consumers on the retail shelf. Across all retail
categories, excluding mass merchandise, private label colas and flavored
soft drinks saw sales increases. A particularly strong outlet for private
label proved to be the convenience and gas channel, averaging an almost 37
percent increase, according to IRI and ACNielsen.
The surge in convenience store private label sales is
no surprise considering Cott Corp., Toronto, Ontario, the world’s
largest store-brand soft drink producer, announced it would tap convenience
stores for future growth. Cott Corp. reported record results for 2003 and
saw sales rise 18 percent to finish the year with $1.4 billion in revenue,
excluding acquisitions. Its U.S. business accounted for 17 percent of the
company’s total growth.
Former head of Cott’s U.S. division, John K.
Sheppard was named president and chief executive officer of the company.
Sheppard’s plans for 2004 include taking advantage of opportunities
in not only the United Kingdom and Mexico, but also in North America by
strengthening Canada/U.S. ties. The company has already moved to expand its
customer base in the mid-Atlantic states by acquiring North Carolina’s Quality Beverage Brands LLC. The agreement
also involves Independent Beverage Corp., which is expected to add
approximately $45 million in annual sales.
Just as the soft drink industry has been forced to adapt to calorie concerns,
the juice segment has been hit by the low-carbohydrate diet trend.
Carb-conscious dieters are shunning juice for the sake of their diets, and
juice manufacturers have been scrambling to introduce low-sugar products to
convince the public that juices can still be part of a well-rounded diet.
The call to action came in
the form of lost sales. Refrigerated juices and juice drinks are down 2
percent from the previous year, frozen juices fell more than 13 percent
last year, concentrates tumbled 22 percent, and
aseptic and canned juices also took a hit. In fact, the only area that offered a glimmer of optimism was
shelf-stable bottled juices, which fell only 0.5 percent in dollar sales,
according to Information Resources Inc., Chicago.
New products aimed at the low-carb crowd include
Minute Maid Premium Light and Tropicana Light ’n Healthy, which
feature less sugar than traditional orange juices. In addition to a lighter
refrigerated juice, Minute Maid launched a line of low-calorie shelf-stable
juice drinks. Minute Maid Light is available in four-packs 500-ml. plastic
bottles in four flavors: Lemonade, Raspberry Passion, Mango Tropical and
Guava Citrus. Made with real fruit juice, the light line contains 5
calories per serving.
Old Orchard Brands, Sparta, Mich., launched a new
addition to its existing line of Low Carb juices — Light Grape Juice,
which has 75 percent less sugar, carbohydrates and calories compared to
other fruit juices.
“Eating nutritiously and maintaining a healthy weight is important, and many people are
pursuing popular diets like the Atkins Diet, The Zone or the South Beach
Diet. The Old Orchard Light fruit juices will provide those dieters, and
the rest of us, with a great way to get essential vitamins while providing
a guilt-free treat,” said Michael McDonald, Old Orchard’s vice
president of sales and marketing, of the product launch.
On another health front, Minute Maid added Heart Wise,
an orange juice containing naturally-sourced plant sterols to help lower
cholesterol, to the line-up. The company also launched a line of
fruit-based aguas frescas beverages in Texas called Minute Maid MiFruta.
Chilled 64-ounce flavors include Agua de
Jamaica (Hibiscus), Agua de Mango Naranja (Mango Orange), Agua de Pina
(Pineapple) and Fresa (Strawberry).
Welch’s also unveiled three new additions to its
100% White grape juice line, adding White Grape Cherry, White Grape
Strawberry and White Grape Berry late last fall.
In other news, Snapple, based in White Plains, N.Y.,
landed an important agreement with the city of
New York that stipulates all New York City schools will exclusively sell
Cadbury’s range of Snapple fruit juices and water in vending
machines. As part of the five-year deal, Cadbury will provide the city
with investment to support its school playgrounds, sports and physical
activity programs. Snapple will also redirect some of its marketing
spending to promote New York City good-living messages.
2003 was a tough year for brewers — the Top 10
brands lost market share, and both domestic and per capita consumption took
a turn for the worse. But analysts predicted an upswing in 2004 and
consumers seem to have developed a taste for more premium products.
Davenport & Co. LLC estimates domestic consumption
dropped 0.7 percent in 2003, and preliminary estimates from the U.S. Census
Bureau show a per-capita consumption decrease from 21.9 gallons per person
in 2002 to 21.5 gallons per person in 2003 — the first drop in
per-capita consumption since 1997. However, while consumers are drinking
less, they are upgrading to more expensive products.
Davenport attributes consumer trade-up to the focus on
new products and packaging. The company estimates high-priced,
super-premium and premium brands in aggregate maintained market position
last year.
Although they did not enjoy the double-digit growth
they experienced several years ago, imports had a 1.9-percent increase in
consumption during the past year and 0.2-point market share gain in the
category. This is a trend that Davenport expects to continue throughout
2004.
The strength of imported premium lagers in the United
States pales in comparison to the robust standard lager market, which is
predicted to reach 13.5 billion liters in sales
by 2008, according to Euromonitor International. In fact, standard
lager’s overpowering status among the beer styles in the United
States is expected to protect it from economic uncertainty. However,
Euromonitor also expects its volume sales to decline by 4.1 percent from
2003 to 2008. Fortunately, the light beer trend is contributing to a
slowdown in the decline of domestic standard lager consumption in the
United States.
Imported premium lagers are expected to see less
volume growth through 2008, however Euromonitor predicts reductions will be
slight due to Americans’ penchant for spending money on luxury items.
Furthermore, premium lager sales are predicted to grow by 36.5 percent
between 2003 and 2008.
From 2003 to 2008, dark beer volume is expected to
grow by 14.8 percent. Experimentation with dark beer continues to be a
trend among U.S. consumers, however unfamiliarity and the long tradition of
lager-style beer continues to be a hurdle for dark beer in this country,
according to Euromonitor.
Anheuser-Busch, St. Louis, Mo., maintained top honors
as the No. 1 brewer in the United States in 2003. It reported shipments of
103.3 million barrels, which was an increase of 0.8 percent compared with
the previous year, and it increased its market
share points by 0.7, according to Davenport. While the introduction of
Michelob Ultra set off a chain of followers that ultimately gave the U.S.
beer market an innovation and sales boost in 2003, the brand had a
cannibalistic effect on Bud Light’s growth. Bud Light’s
shipments reportedly grew 2.5 percent in 2003, down from the 8.2 percent
growth it experienced during 2002. Budweiser also declined in shipments to
31.8 million barrels, accounting for a 3.6 percent decline last year. As
the first-to-market producer in the low-carb craze, Michelob Ultra was the
company’s top performer and took 1.5 percent market share, reporting
an estimated 3 million barrels shipped vs. the 0.5 million barrels it
shipped the previous year.
In 2003, the company also launched Bacardi Silver Raz,
the raspberry-flavored sibling of the Bacardi Silver O3 orange-flavored
malternative, and World Select, Anheuser-Busch’s pilsner beer.
In addition to implementing cost-controlling measures
by “removing barriers between brewers, wholesalers and
retailers,” Anheuser Busch’s “Brewery of the
Future” initiative is expected to help the company produce more beer
using fewer resources.
Sliding into the No. 2 spot is Miller Brewing Co., Milwaukee, part of the SABMiller family of companies. The
company reported volume at approximately 37.7 million barrels last year,
down from 39 million barrels in 2002. Losing 0.5 points of market share,
Miller has focused its efforts on reviving the Miller Lite brand through
new packaging and advertising suggesting that it’s a low-carb
alternative. As a result, Miller Lite has experienced a turnaround
this year that was many months ahead of estimates.
Moving forward under leader Norman Adami, Miller also
will be focusing on strengthening its sales and distribution efforts,
prioritizing local markets and improving channel management, according to
the company.
The Adolph Coors Co., Golden, Colo., also was among
the companies reporting lackluster results for 2003. Shipments were down
1.3 percent from the previous year, and Davenport estimates the brewer lost
0.1 points of market share compared with 2002. While cornerstone brand
Coors Light’s shipments decreased by approximately 1.8 percent last
year, Keystone Light showed notable growth.
With growth in the United States and many other
countries at a relative standstill, many brewers are looking to developing
markets. Among the areas of interest are countries such as China, regions
of the world such as Eastern Europe and continents such as South America.
China, one of the four largest beer markets in the world, beat out the
United States as the world’s largest beer market by volume in 2002.
Current data shows that China, Brazil, the United States and Russia
maintain the top spots for beer consumption in the world, according to
Euromonitor.
Heineken reported its earnings growth for 2003 was
driven primarily by acquisitions in Eastern and Central Europe. Focus on European markets through its investment in
BBAG, an Austrian brewer, offset the increasing difficulty the company
faced in its No. 1 market, the United States, due to a weakening dollar.
Starting in 2004 with the acquisition of a 50 percent
stake in the Lion Group in Malaysia, Interbrew SA announced its plans in
March to merge with Brazil’s Campanhia de Bebidas das Americas
(AmBev), creating the largest brewer in the world by volume.
InterbrewAmBev, the separate holding company formed after the $11.2 billion
deal, is expected to sell 13 billion liters of beer annually and edge out
No. 1 Anheuser-Busch. Forecasters at Euromonitor
also predict that Latin American beer sales will grow by more than 14
percent during the next five years.
While Anheuser-Busch takes a back seat to
Interbrew’s entrance in markets to the South, it recently announced
the acquisition of approximately 30 percent of Harbin Brewery Group Ltd., a
brewer in Northeastern China, to compete with the Belgian giant in China.
The acquisition serves as the company’s second venture in the Chinese
market after its investment in Tsingtao Brewery Co. Ltd. two years ago.
Part of its growth direction after the merger of South
African Breweries and Miller Brewing Co. two years ago, SAB Miller plc
focused its 2003 investment dollars on claiming a large stake in Italian
brewer Peroni.
Celebrating 34 years of consecutive growth, the craft
beer segment in the United States continues to shine. Craft beer
experienced a 3.4 percent growth in production in 2003, according to the
U.S. Association of Brewers.
The organization reports
that in 2003 there were 81 brewery openings compared to 73 brewery
closings, brewery size and distribution continued to expand, restaurants
with breweries started bottling or canning lines and brewpub owners opened
second and third locations. The shift in consumer interest for microbrews
also was apparent at the cash register. The association found 2003 sales at
off-premise locations increased and regional specialty brewers experienced
10 percent growth.
If sales of alternative beverages are any indication,
we’re a nation in need of a pick-me-up. America’s thirst for
energy-boosting alternative beverages remains unsated. The alternative
beverage category experienced another year of healthy sales.
Dollar sales were up across the category in
supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart,
according to data from Chicago-based Information Resources Inc. Unit sales
were also strong across the category, with the exception of canned and
bottled teas which saw a decrease in unit sales of 2.8 percent vs. a year
ago, despite a slight increase in dollar sales during the same period. New
product activity across the category was robust, with low-carb and low-cal
options predominating.
Interestingly, the most new product activity was in
the ready-to-drink tea segment. White teas, purportedly chock full of
antioxidants and virtually unheard of in the U.S. market until recently,
are now the leaf of choice. Origins debuted a Pure Silver Tip White Tea.
New Leaf White Tea is cane juice sweetened. Revolution White T comes in
fruit flavors such as raspberry, and Fuze Beverage weighed in with its own
White Tea brew as well. Other new RTD teas include Arizona’s Decaf
Carb-Free and Botanically Brewed teas, Low-Carb Steaz Green Tea Soda, and
Greenergy Double Brew green teas from Tradewinds Beverage Co.
Arizona led the canned and bottled tea category in
sales with more than $116 million, up 27.6 percent from a year ago. The No.
2 brand, Lipton Brisk, suffered a sales decline of 8.5 percent during the
past year. Nestea’s Cool brand experienced a similar fate, with a 17
percent decline in sales. Snapple and Diet Snapple performed better,
posting gains of 6 percent and 12 percent respectively.
Sales of RTD cappuccino and iced coffee continue to
grow. The segment was up more than 16 percent
in dollar sales from a year ago. Starbucks/Pepsi’s Frappuccino
dominates the category, with sales of more than $121 million. The only
other product with sales above the million-dollar mark is Doubleshot,
another product from the Starbucks/Pepsi
partnership. Arizona’s cappuccino product took a big dip in sales
– 73 percent. The company recently revamped its cappuccino shake
though, so next year should be more indicative of the product’s
future success. New product activity was slow across the segment with the
only notable launch from Cadbury — Yoo-hoo Dyna-Mocha, a combination
of Yoo-hoo and coffee.
The energy drink segment shows no sign yet of slowing
down. Dollar sales growth vs. a year ago was 54 percent, with unit sales up
31 percent. Red Bull sits solidly atop the category with more than $115
million in sales. Next in line is Rockstar Energy drink with $14.5 million
in sales, which reflects a nearly 125-percent
increase from a year ago. Brands with sales declines include
Coca-Cola’s KMX Energy Drink and Blue Ox Energy Drink.
There are plenty of new entries in the energy drink
segment, each with its own special virtues. Impulse Energy Drink is
sugar-free. US Energy Drink is low-carb. Wired boasts a larger size. YET
(Your Energy Tonic) and Jugular are aimed at extreme sports fans. And
Airforce Nutrisoda is a mid-calorie drink designed for frequent flyers.
One couldn’t tell that the average American
shuns physical activity by the number of sports drinks sold in the United
States. Sports drink sales topped $1.1 billion for the 52 weeks ending June
13, 2004, according to IRI. This was a dollar sales increase of more than
13 percent from a year ago. Unit sales kept pace with dollar sales,
increasing 14 percent over a year ago.
Gatorade defined the sports drink category, and it
still reigns over it. The sports drink powerhouse rules the category
— eight of the top 10 products sold are Gatorade sub-brands like
Fierce and Frost. It’s the rare brand that can so totally dominate a
category for so long. The numbers tell the story though, Gatorade product
sales exceed $920 million, which is around 84 percent of the category.
Despite Gatorade’s dominance, Coke’s
Powerade is the No. 2 player in the category with more than $145 million in
sales, showing an increase of 18 percent over a year ago. And Capri Sun
Sport, admittedly, a minor player with just more than $33 million in sales,
had a dollar sales increase of 190 percent vs. a year ago.
New product entries are few, perhaps a bow to
Gatorade’s dominance. Nonetheless Procter & Gamble recently
introduced Sunny D Intense Rehydrating Sport Drinks in Lemon Lime,
Raspberry Ice and Orange flavors. Sunny D like Capri Sun is targeted to the
tween set. Another entry from the Dairy Farmers of America is the
milk-based Sport Shake Max. The shelf-stable beverage is available in four
flavors – Strawberry Xtreme, Vanilla Blitz, Banana Blast and
Chocolate Vanilla.
With the perception of municipal water quality not
getting any better and consumers continually searching for that
ever-healthier elixir, the bottled water category continues to grow.
According to figures from Information Resources
Inc., the bottled water category had sales of more than $3.2 billion in
supermarkets, drug stores and mass merchandisers, excluding Wal-Mart, for
the 52-week period ending June 13, 2004. That
sales number reflects an increase of 12 percent vs, a year ago.
Pepsi Cola’s Aquafina brand led the category in
sales with $378 million, an increase of 18 percent over the previous year.
Private label jug water sales are solidly in second place with $326
million, but that’s a drop of 3.5 percent from a year ago. Consumers
seem to be opting more for convenience-size bottles — private label
convenience water sales rose nearly 32 percent to $264 million. Private
label convenience size water now sits in fourth position in the category,
just behind Coke’s Dasani brand, which had $275 million in sales.
New products continue to pour into the category. Aspen
Pure water is positioned as a premium water sourced from the Rocky
Mountains. It’s targeted at outdoor enthusiasts. Trinity Geothermal
bottled water claims to be taken from an ancient water source more than 16,000 years old. Power Water is oxygenated and
positioned as a super-premium product. And Le-Natures announced a line of
Ice Waters in eight-sided bottles.
Flavored waters are also popular. Speedo Sportswater
is a low-cal, low-carb entry that comes in four flavors – Orange
Passionfruit, Fruit Punch, Lemon and Apple Starfruit. Each 18-ounce bottle
is shaped like a bullet. Canada Pure Sparkling Refresher is a carbonated
spring water available in natural flavors such as Black Cherry, Raspberry
and Lemon. Energy Multi-Vitamin Enhanced Water, available in the Northeast,
contains an alphabet of vitamins and is available in Tropical Punch,
Peach-Strawberry, Kiwi-Strawberry, Tropical Citrus and Orange.
Leading Brands added a unique entry to the category
with Soy2O. It’s a blend of fruit-flavored water and soy isoflavones.
A special technology allows the beverage to capture the benefits of soy
without the unpleasant taste, odor and appearance often associated with
soy. The product comes in four flavors: Blueberry Grape, Peach Mango,
Strawberry Guava and Lemon Green Tea. Each 12-ounce bottle retails for
$1.09.
In a testament to the continuing importance of the
category, Pepsi is test marketing a lower-priced bottled water, H2Oh! In
several U.S. markets including St. Louis and Chicago, according to a report
in The Wall Street Journal. There is also speculation that Pepsi may test the waters, so to
speak, in the sparkling segment, since it applied for a trademark for
Aquafina Sparkling.
The U.S. wine industry continues to grow, but the 2003
vintage took a bit of a production hit. 2003 wine shipments in the United
States from all sources were up 5 percent at 627 million gallons.
California accounted for 67 percent of the total market share at 417
million gallons, according to the Wine Institute in San Francisco.
The California grape crush was down 5 percent in 2003
from 2002, totaling less than 2.94 tons of wine grapes crushed. And growers
received bad news as prices for red and white wine grapes on average dipped
below 2002 prices, according to the California Department of Food and
Agriculture in its Preliminary Grape Crush Report released in February.
Chardonnay was the largest contributor to crush
volume, with more than 560,000 total tons crushed at an average price of
$655 per ton. Cabernet Sauvignon and Zinfandel wine grapes took the No. 2
and No. 3 spots, respectively. Cabernet Sauvignon reported more than
395,000 total tons crushed at an average price per ton of more than $1,000.
Zinfandel accounted for more than 327,000 tons priced at $427 per ton.
According to the report, the largest production district was
Fresno/Madera/Tulare, followed by Lodi/Woodbridge and Kern, all located in
Central California.
According to the Wine Institute, the decrease in crush
volume was largely due to unseasonable rain storms last spring,
hotter-than-normal conditions during the summer and a decrease in the total
vine acreage producing wine grapes. The organization cites the removal of vines in recent years at a faster rate than
planting new grape-bearing plants was the cause of lower crush totals.
Although it appears the U.S. wine industry is
struggling, experts say the relatively light crop will help the
supply/demand balance in the California wine business, something the
industry has been struggling with during the past few years.
Vinexpo predicts that by 2007, Americans will be
consuming an average of more than 23 million hectoliters of wine, with
still light wines leading the way. Of the still light wines being consumed,
the world wine organization says more than 74 percent of the wine consumed
in the United States will be produced domestically in 2007. However, as
both international and national producers stake a larger claim in the
growing wine-drinking population, Vinexpo expects imports to steal a larger
piece of the pie from domestic competition.
Americans will spend more than $18 million on domestic
and imported wine by 2007, up from more than $16 million reported by
Vinexpo in 2002. And more than 80 percent of the market growth in the wine
retail sector is expected to be wines that cost more than $5 per bottle,
according to the organization.
E&J Gallo has maintained its position as the No. 1
wine producer in the United States by volume. The Modesto-based company has
more than 35 brands that span all price ranges and sectors as well as a
significant presence in international markets. According to Euromonitor,
E&J Gallo is the largest exporter of U.S. wines, selling in more than
90 countries. However, broadsided in 2003 by the completed acquisition of
Constellation Brand’s acquisition of BRL Hardy, Gallo now battles for
the title of the world’s largest winery.
Gallo, typically known for
value wines, is now expanding into the upper echelon of wine production
with its premium-priced wines. This has given it an interesting position
against rival producers such as Robert Mondavi and Kendall-Jackson in the
United States, and Constellation on a world scale. The two multinational
companies continue to compete head-to-head in a
number of wine categories, including everything from low-priced budget wines to high-end premium offerings as well as
flavored alcohol beverages. They also both have winery interests in Australia, one of the
leading countries exporting wines to the United States.
Constellation Brands, Fairport, N.Y., reported net
sales for its fiscal year 2004 increased by 43 percent to $2.4 billion. It
attributed its success to the addition of BRL Hardy to the fold.
Constellation also looked to the United Kingdom for business opportunities.
The company says its premium branded wine sales grew 8 percent due to
Australian and California wine in the United Kingdom and higher-end wines
in the United States.
The company announced
early this year that it formed Constellation Wines Europe to account for
the increasing demand for its brands worldwide. The new group is part of
the integration that took place within the company’s operations after
the BRL Hardy merger.
The Wine Group, San Francisco, made its own waves in
the wine business this year by maintaining its solid third-place position
in the market, with a reported 25 million cases of wine sold in 2003. More
recently, the company threw its bid in the ring for Golden State Vintners,
one of the top five bulk wine producers in the United States. Although the
combined company would not give The Wine Group a higher ranking among larger producers, it would support its positive growth.
Spirits have enjoyed
growing popularity among younger consumers and
the success of new flavored product introductions have made the past year a
good one for distilled spirits. Cognac, vodka, rum and tequila lead the
category, which grew 4 percent in 2003 to more than $41.4 billion overall,
according to Euromonitor International. Volume grew 3.1 percent to nearly
1.4 billion liters.
Given the uncertain U.S. economy, consumers were
expected to cut back on luxury items like spirits. However, the
category’s performance indicates that consumers are optimistic about
a possible economic upturn and are retaining their preference for even
super-premium priced spirits.
Spirits have also undergone an image transformation
that continues to drive sales and volume. While classic cocktails enjoyed a
brief 1990s revival, spirits are now positioned as a key ingredient in
newer specialty drinks that are more relevant to younger consumers,
particularly the 21-28 age group.
Thanks to hip-hop songs like Busta Rhymes’
“Pass the Courvoisier,” Cognac and brandy have experienced a
sharp increase in interest from young and urban audiences. Cognac and
brandy regularly appear in rap and hip-hop videos, giving those segments a
trendy, sophisticated image among younger consumers. In 2003, combined
brandy and Cognac volume increased 3.1 percent, while sales climbed 4.7
percent. The marriage of music and spirits is expected to strengthen during
the next year. Among the deals struck in 2003, William Grant & Sons
licensed the new Armadale Vodka brand to Roc-A-Fella Records, home to
top-selling rap artist Jay-Z. Roc-A-Fella promotes the product while
William Grant handles production.
Liqueurs also remained popular in 2003, growing 1.5
percent in volume and posting a 2.7 percent sales increase to $5.7 billion.
Bailey’s Irish Cream and Jagermeister are among the strongest premium
liqueur brands.
Rum is a star in the spirits category, as the
introduction of flavored rums increased its popularity as both a mixer and
a stand-alone drink among younger consumers. Rum sales grew 5.4 percent in
2003 to $4.6 billion, and volume increased 4.7 percent. Its sweeter taste
and versatility in mixed drinks drives rum’s appeal among younger
consumers. Last year saw the introduction of numerous flavored rums,
notably Bacardi Flavored Rum Razz, Vanilla and Coco, extensions of the
manufacturer’s popular Limon and orange-flavored Bacardi O brands. In
terms of brands, the rum category is largely a battle for market share
between No. 1 Bacardi and No. 2 Captain Morgan, with
Malibu a distant third. While Bacardi’s lead remains solid, Captain
Morgan has recently gained market share due to aggressive marketing and a
more developed line of flavored products.
Where rum experienced great success in 2003, tequila
is recovering from a dramatic shift in popularity. After growing steadily
throughout the 1990s, tequila sales took a nosedive in 2001, in part
because consumers switched to more au courant spirits like rum or vodka. In
2003, tequila showed improvement. Volume, spurred by a rise in sales of
premium brands such as Jose Cuervo Gran Reserva
and Viuda de Romero Resposado Premium Tequila, increased 8.2 percent to
72.4 million liters and sales grew 9.2 percent to reach $2.1 billion. Jose
Cuervo is the largest U.S. tequila brand and the sixth-largest overall
distilled spirits brand by volume.
Among white spirits, vodka is the clear leader. Vodka
sales grew 6 percent in volume to 385 million liters and increased sales
6.9 percent to $9.8 billion in 2003, according to Euromonitor. Value growth
outpaces volume gains in the vodka category as consumers increasingly trade
up to premium brands such as Belvedere, Grey Goose and Stolichnaya,
although general demand also lifted sales of standard-priced brands.
Smirnoff, the leading vodka brand by volume and the second-largest spirits
brand overall, has seen steady growth during the past two years.
Like rum, vodka is a versatile mixed drink ingredient,
as evidenced by the popularity of vodka martinis, vodka gimlets, vodka
tonics and Cosmopolitans. Flavored vodkas are driving the category’s
surge, as they can be consumed alone or in mixed drinks. Citrus flavors
such as lemon and orange are popular, as is vanilla. Notable new product
rollouts in 2003 included Stolichnaya Stoli Cranberi and Stoli Citros, Skyy
Flavored Vodka and Absolut Vodka Vanilia.
As vodka has grown, gin has suffered. In the United
States, gin is primarily consumed in mixed drinks, but consumers are
replacing gin with vodka in traditionally gin-based drinks such as gin
gimlets and gin martinis. Also, due to its strong juniper berry taste,
there are few flavored gins on the market. In 2003, gin volume remained
largely flat, posting only a 0.6 percent gain. Sales increased 1.4 percent
to $2.7 million, bolstered by the fact that consumers are choosing premium
brands such as Bombay Sapphire and Beefeater.
In the whiskey category, premium and super-premium products
such as single-malt Scotch whisky gained the most in 2003. While the category
remained largely flat, Irish whiskey saw a 7.8 percent increase in volume, and
a 9.1 percent sales increase to $240 million. This is due in part to the fact
that Irish whisky is a relatively immature segment in the United States, since
its market penetration is not as great as U.S. bourbon, Canadian whiskey and
Scotch whisky. The segment is dominated by Pernod Ricard USA’s Jameson brand
family. While it remains the single largest U.S. distilled spirits subsector,
whiskey has lost ground to trendier drinks. Overall, whiskey volume increased
only 0.3 percent in 2003 and posted a 1.3 percent sales increase to $11.4 billion,
due mostly to premium and super-premium brand sales.
Soft drink market share by company | |||||
Company | Market share | Market share % change | Volume % change | ||
Corporate Coca-Cola | 36.8 | -0.1 | -0.4 | ||
Corporate Pepsi-Cola | 25.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | ||
Cadbury SCHWEPPES | 16.8 | -0.5 | -3.1 | ||
Private Label | 7.9 | 0.4 | 5.2 | ||
Source: Information Resources Inc. and ACNielsen for full-year 2003. | |||||
Global carbonate retail volume (in million liters) | |||||
Subsector | 2003 | ||||
Carbonates | 135,971.1 | ||||
Cola carbonates | 77,107.2 | ||||
Standard cola carbonates | 57,701.3 | ||||
Low calorie cola carbonates | 16,146.1 | ||||
Other cola carbonates | 3,259.8 | ||||
Non-cola carbonates | 58,863.9 | ||||
Lemonade/lime carbonates | 17,423.6 | ||||
Orange carbonates | 13,168.2 | ||||
Mixers | 3,172.0 | ||||
Other non-cola carbonates | 25,100.0 | ||||
Source: Euromonitor International — Global Soft Drinks Market Information System, 2004 | |||||
Top soft drink brands by volume | |||||
Brand | MARKET SHARE | MARKET SHARE % change | VOLUME SHARE % change | ||
Coca-Cola Classic | 14.7 | -0.5 | -3.1 | ||
Pepsi-Cola | 13.1 | -0.7 | -5.1 | ||
Diet Coke | 7.5 | 0.2 | 2.7 | ||
Mountain Dew | 6.3 | 0.1 | -1.4 | ||
Diet Pepsi | 5.5 | 0.2 | 4.0 | ||
Private Label Flavors | 4.9 | 0.3 | 5.6 | ||
Dr Pepper | 4.7 | -0.2 | -4.1 | ||
Sprite | 4.5 | -0.3 | -7.0 | ||
Private Label Colas | 2.1 | 0.1 | 7.2 | ||
7 UP | 1.8 | -0.5 | -20.1 | ||
Source: Information Resources Inc. and ACNielsen for full-year 2003 vs. prior year. | |||||
Top refrigerated juices by brand | |||||
Brand | DOLLAR SALES |
% change vs. prior year |
Market Share |
% change vs. prior year |
|
Tropicana Pure Premium Orange Juice | $1,198,785,000 | -1.73 | 30.72 | 0.17 | |
Private Label Orange Juice | $436,717,600 | -11.86 | 11.19 | -1.22 | |
Minute Maid Premium Orange Juice | $436,713,500 | -14.78 | 11.19 | -1.64 | |
Florida’s Natural Orange Juice | $234,023,200 | -4.91 | 6.00 | -0.17 | |
Sunny Delight Fruit Drink | $201,860,100 | -3.29 | 5.17 | -0.05 | |
Simply Orange Orange Juice | $136,436,900 | 114.50 | 3.50 | 1.90 | |
Tampico Fruit Drink | $103,586,500 | -4.37 | 2.65 | -0.06 | |
Dole Blended Fruit Drink | $101,551,000 | -11.59 | 2.60 | -0.27 | |
Minute Maid Premium Fruit Drink | $80,659,940 | -5.81 | 2.07 | -0.08 | |
Welch’s Fruit Drink | $69,600,020 | 9.07 | 1.78 | 0.19 | |
Category total | $3,901,785,000 | -2.27 | 100.00 | 0.00 | |
Source: Information Resources Inc., Total food, drug and mass merchandise (excluding Wal-Mart) for the 52 weeks ending June 13, 2004 | |||||
Top bottled juices by brand | |||||
Brand | DOLLAR SALES |
% change vs. prior year |
Market Share |
% change vs. prior year |
|
Ocean Spray Cranberry Cocktail/Juice Drink | $332,356,900 | -8.12 | 9.49 | -0.79 | |
Private Label Apple Juice | $197,463,300 | -0.45 | 5.64 | 0.00 | |
Libby’s Juicy Juice Fruit Juice Blend | $170,385,600 | 0.19 | 4.87 | 0.03 | |
Welch’s Grape Juice | $160,586,900 | 2.46 | 4.59 | 0.13 | |
Private Label Cranberry Cocktail/Juice Drink | $130,958,400 | -8.67 | 3.74 | 0.33 | |
V8 Tomato/Vegetable Juice/Cocktail | $121,379,800 | 19.44 | 3.47 | 0.58 | |
Hawaiian Punch Fruit Drinks | $117,795,200 | 5.67 | 3.36 | 0.20 | |
Tropicana Twister Fruit Drinks | $87,698,860 | -6.44 | 2.50 | -0.16 | |
V8 Splash Tomato/Vegetable Juice/Cocktail | $69,350,130 | -18.33 | 1.98 | -0.43 | |
Mott’s Apple Juice | $67,649,770 | -8.94 | 1.93 | -0.18 | |
Category total | $3,501,670,000 | -0.50 | 100.00 | 0.00 | |
Source: Information Resources Inc., Total food, drug and mass merchandise (excluding Wal-Mart) for the 52 weeks ending June 13, 2004 | |||||
Global beer sales by value (millions of dollars rsp/hsp*) | |||||
Subsector | 1998 | 2003 | 2008 | ||
Lager | 312,731.7 | 340,212.8 | 374,145.4 | ||
Premium lager | 72,475.9 | 89,806.0 | 111,815.6 | ||
Standard lager | 205,351.1 | 203,392.9 | 208,479.1 | ||
Economy lager | 34,904.8 | 47,013.9 | 53,850.7 | ||
Dark beer | 22,979.6 | 23,180.1 | 23,436.8 | ||
Stout | 6,904.3 | 8,167.6 | 8,295.3 | ||
Non-/low-alcohol | 4,646.1 | 5,077.2 | 5,990.4 | ||
Total | 347,261.7 | 376,637.7 | 411,868.0 | ||
*rsp/hsp=retail selling
price/horeca (hotels, restaurants, catering) selling price Source: Euromonitor International - Global Beer Market Information System, 2004 |
|||||
Top domestic beer brands (million barrels) | |||||
Brand | 1999 | 2000 | 2001 | 2002 | 2003E |
Bud Light | 28.4 | 31.5 | 34.2 | 37.0 | 37.9 |
Budweiser | 36.5 | 35.4 | 34.3 | 33.0 | 31.8 |
Coors Light | 15.9 | 16.7 | 16.8 | 17.0 | 16.7 |
Miller Franchise* | 16.6 | 16.5 | 15.8 | 15.4 | 15.9 |
A-B Natural Light | 7.7 | 8.0 | 8.2 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
Busch | 8.0 | 7.8 | 7.6 | 7.3 | 6.9 |
Miller High Life | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.6 | 5.8 | 5.7 |
Busch Light | 5.2 | 5.3 |